Saturday, March 12, 2022

Rutgers NCAA Tournament resume vs the other bubble teams

 
(photo courtesy of Michael Conroy of NJ Advance Media)

How does Rutgers tournament resume stack up against the other bubble teams?

As Selection Sunday nears, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have one of the most interesting tournament resumes in the country. There are positive and there are negatives. Let's compare the Scarlet Knights' resume to the rest of the bubble teams. (Note: All information is current as of 12 March. Seeding projection is based on BracketMatrix.com.)

RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS (18-13; 12-8)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 12 (Last Four In)
  • NET Rankings: 78
  • KenPom Rankings: 75
  • Sagarin Ratings: 59
  • NET SOS: 33
  • Home Record: 14-3
  • Away Record: 4-9 (includes two Q1 wins)
  • Neutral Record: 0-1 (includes Q1 loss)
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 6-6
    • Q2: 3-4
    • Q3: 4-2
    • Q4: 5-1
  • Best Wins: Purdue, 12/9; Michigan, 1/4; Maryland, 1/15; Iowa, 1/19; Michigan State, 2/5; Ohio State, 2/9; Wisconsin, 2/12; Illinois, 2/16; Indiana, 3/2
  • Bad Losses (Q3/Q4): Lafayette, 11/22; Massachusetts, 11/27
  • Interesting note: Rutgers has beaten all of its opponents in the Top 40 of the NET Rankings and Rutgers has wins against eight teams projected to make the NCAA Tournament. This is better than any team considered to be on the Bubble. Rutgers is 8-6 against Top 40 NET teams.

BUBBLE TEAMS -

NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (22-10; 15-5)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 12 (Last Four In)
  • NET Rankings: 52
  • KenPom Rankings: 53
  • Sagarin Ratings: 53
  • NET SOS: 66
  • Home Record: 14-1
  • Away Record: 7-5
  • Neutral Record: 0-4
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 2-7
    • Q2: 2-2
    • Q3: 11-1
    • Q4: 6-0
  • Best Wins: Kentucky, 12/11; North Carolina, 1/5; Miami, 2/2; Clemson, 2/12
  • Bad Losses: Boston College, 12/3
  • Interesting note: Notre Dame is 0-4 on neutral courts to Q1/Q2 teams with losses to St. Mary's, Virginia Tech, Texas A&M, and Indiana. Notre Dame is a combined 4-9 against Q1/Q2 teams. Notre is also 2-7 against Top 40 NET teams. Notre Dame played in a very lackluster ACC this year. Duke and UNC are the only two AP ranked teams in the ACC out of 15 teams.

XAVIER MUSKETEERS (18-13; 8-11)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 12 (Last Four In)
  • NET Rankings: 40
  • KenPom Rankings: 60
  • Sagarin Ratings: 42
  • NET SOS: 36
  • Home Record: 13-5
  • Away Record: 4-6
  • Neutral Record: 1-2
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 5-8
    • Q2: 4-3
    • Q3: 4-2
    • Q4: 5-0
  • Best Wins: Ohio State, 11/18; Virginia Tech, 11/26; Oklahoma State, 12/5; Marquette, 12/18; Creighton, 1/15; Creighton, 1/29; Connecticut, 2/11
  • Bad Losses: DePaul, 2/5; Butler, 3/9
  • Interesting note: Xavier has lost eight out of their last ten games including two Q3 losses to DePaul and Butler. Seton Hall, Villanova, St. John's, and Providence swept the Xavier this season. Xavier is 3-7 against the Top 40 NET teams.

SOUTHERN METHODIST MUSTANGS (23-7; 13-4)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 12 (Last Four In)
  • NET Rankings: 42
  • KenPom Rankings: 52
  • Sagarin Ratings: 39
  • NET SOS: 109
  • Home Record: 16-0
  • Away Record: 6-5
  • Neutral Record: 1-2
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 2-1
    • Q2: 4-4
    • Q3: 10-1
    • Q4: 7-1
  • Best Wins: Vanderbilt, 12/4; Dayton, 12/8; Memphis, 1/20; Houston, 2/9; Memphis, 2/20
  • Bad Losses: Missouri, 11/21; Loyola Marymount, 11/22
  • Interesting note: SMU has only played three Q1 teams the entire season. SMU's best win outside of the American Athletic Conference is Vanderbilt (#66 NET Ranking).

VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES (22-12; 11-9)

  • Latest Seed Projection: First Four Out
  • NET Rankings: 30
  • KenPom Rankings: 25
  • Sagarin Ratings: 31
  • NET SOS: 80
  • Home Record: 11-4
  • Away Record: 7-6
  • Neutral Record: 4-2
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 2-5
    • Q2: 6-5
    • Q3: 7-2
    • Q4: 7-0
  • Best Wins: Notre Dame, 1/15; Miami, 2/26; Notre Dame, 3/10; North Carolina, 3/11
  • Bad Losses: NC State, 1/4; Boston College, 1/22
  • Interesting note: Virginia Tech has solid rankings and ratings across the board, but Virginia Tech lacks quality wins. Virginia Tech's best win on their resume in the Top 40 of the NET is against North Carolina in the ACC Tournament. Notre Dame (#52) and Miami (#63) are outside of the Top 40. Virginia Tech is 1-5 against Top 40 NET teams. Virginia Tech played in a very lackluster ACC this year.

MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (17-14; 11-9)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 11 (Last Four Bye)
  • NET Rankings: 34
  • KenPom Rankings: 33
  • Sagarin Ratings: 25
  • NET SOS: 5
  • Home Record: 10-5
  • Away Record: 5-7
  • Neutral Record: 2-2
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 5-10
    • Q2: 3-3
    • Q3: 6-1
    • Q4: 3-0
  • Best Wins: San Diego State, 12/4; Indiana, 1/23; Purdue, 2/10; Iowa, 2/17; Michigan State, 3/1; Ohio State, 3/6
  • Bad Losses: Minnesota, 12/11
  • Interesting note: Michigan is a very interesting team because their overall record is 17-14. Michigan is 6-11 against Top 40 NET ranked teams.

WYOMING COWBOYS (25-8; 13-5)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 11-seed (Last Four Bye)
  • NET Rankings: 48
  • KenPom Rankings: 58
  • Sagarin Ratings: 83
  • NET SOS: 90
  • Home Record: 13-1
  • Away Record: 9-5
  • Neutral Record: 2-2
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 4-5
    • Q2: 7-1
    • Q3: 3-2
    • Q4: 10-0
  • Best Wins: Utah State, 1/15; Colorado State, 1/31; Boise State, 2/3; Fresno State, 2/6; Utah State, 2/8; Fresno State, 3/5
  • Bad Losses: New Mexico, 2/15
  • Interesting note: Wyoming is another interesting team, they have wins against two teams from the Mountain West, Boise State and Colorado State, projected to make the NCAA Tournament. Wyoming has padded their win total with a lot of Q4 opponents and also played an NAIA team on 11/26. Wyoming is 2-5 against Top 40 NET ranked teams.

WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS (23-9; 13-7)

  • Latest Seed Projection: First Four Out
  • NET Rankings: 45
  • KenPom Rankings: 36
  • Sagarin Ratings: 47
  • NET SOS: 104
  • Home Record: 16-2
  • Away Record: 5-5
  • Neutral Record: 2-2
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 1-4
    • Q2: 4-3
    • Q3: 9-2
    • Q4: 9-0
  • Best Wins: Virginia Tech, 12/4; North Carolina, 1/22; Notre Dame, 2/19
  • Bad Losses: Louisville, 12/29; Boston College, 3/9
  • Interesting note: Wake Forest has one of the worst rated non-conference schedules in the country of all the teams on the Bubble and lack any quality wins. The Demon Deacons are 2-3 against Top 40 NET ranked teams. The Demon Deacons played in a very lackluster ACC conference.

DAYTON FLYERS (23-10; 14-4)

  • Latest Seed Projection: Next Four Out
  • NET Rankings: 54
  • KenPom Rankings: 54
  • Sagarin Ratings: 56
  • NET SOS: 118
  • Home Record: 13-4
  • Road Record: 6-5
  • Neutral Record: 4-0
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 3-2
    • Q2: 5-3
    • Q3: 6-1
    • Q4: 9-3
  • Best Wins: Miami, 11/25; Kansas, 11/26; Belmont, 11/28; Virginia Tech, 12/12; VCU, 1/5; St. Louis, 1/11; VCU, 2/2; Davidson, 3/5
  • Bad Losses: UMass-Lowell, 11/13; Lipscomb, 11/17; Austin Peay, 11/20; LaSalle, 2/26
  • Interesting note: While Dayton has some of the best wins all season, they have some really bad losses. Dayton is 2-0 against Top 40 NET ranked teams. Dayton only faced regular season champ Davidson once this season and beat them on 3/5. Dayton swept VCU for the year.

TEXAS A&M AGGIES (23-11; 9-9)

  • Latest Seed Projection: First Four Out
  • NET Rankings: 51
  • KenPom Rankings: 42
  • Sagarin Ratings: 55
  • NET SOS: 50
  • Home Record: 12-4
  • Away Record: 5-5
  • Neutral Record: 4-2
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 4-9
    • Q2: 5-0
    • Q3: 5-2
    • Q4: 8-0
  • Best Wins: Notre Dame, 11/24; Arkansas, 1/8; Florida, 2/15; Alabama, 3/2; Mississippi State, 3/5; Florida, 3/10; Auburn, 3/11, Arkansas, 3/12
  • Bad Losses: Missouri, 1/15
  • Interesting note: Texas A&M has come alive in the SEC Tournament and have three in a row against Q1 opponents. For much of the season Texas A&M lacked quality wins. The Aggies have padded their record with a slew of Q4 opponents; however, Texas A&M is 5-0 against Q2 opponents. The Aggies are 4-7 against Top 40 NET Ranked teams.

INDIANA HOOSIERS (20-13; 9-11)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 11 (Last Four Bye)
  • NET Rankings: 38
  • KenPom Rankings: 39
  • Sagarin Ratings: 29
  • NET SOS: 41
  • Home Record: 14-4
  • Away Record: 3-8
  • Neutral Record: 3-0
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 4-7
    • Q2: 4-4
    • Q3: 5-1
    • Q4: 7-0
  • Best Wins: Notre Dame, 12/18; Ohio State, 1/6; Purdue, 1/20; Michigan, 3/10; Illinois, 3/11
  • Bad Losses: None
  • Interesting note: Indiana has no bad losses (however, they did lose a Q3 game to Rutgers at home). Indiana was able to earn two more Q1 wins on a neutral floor in the Big Ten Tournament against Michigan and Illinois, otherwise their best wins for the year would have been against Ohio State and Purdue at home.


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