Showing posts with label NC State. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NC State. Show all posts

Sunday, March 12, 2023

Rutgers Tournament Resume vs Bubble Teams, 2023 Version

 

photo courtesy of Getty Images

How does Rutgers tournament resume stack up against the other bubble teams?

As Selection Sunday is only hours away, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have another very interesting tournament resume just like last season. There are positives and there are negatives. Let's compare Rutgers' resume to the rest of the bubble teams. (Note: All information is current as of 11 March. Seeding projections are based on averages from BracketMatrix.com.)


graphic courtesy of Mike Broadbent (The Knight Report)

RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS (19-14; 11-11)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 11 (Last Four In)
  • Appearing In Total Brackets: 114 out of 118
  • NET Rankings: 40
  • KenPom Rankings: 35
  • NET SOS: 41
  • NC SOS: 314
  • Home Record: 14-5
  • Away Record: 4-7 (includes three Q1 wins & one Q2 win)
  • Neutral Record: 1-2 (includes one Q2 win)
  • SOR: 57
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 5-7
    • Q2: 5-3 
    • Q3: 2-4
    • Q4: 7-0
  • Best Wins: 12/3, Indiana (27, Q1); 1/2, at Purdue (5, Q1); 1/5, Maryland (22, Q1); 1/11, at Northwestern (41, Q1); 1/15, Ohio State (48, Q2); 1/24, Penn State (55, Q2); 2/4, Michigan State (33, Q2); 2/26, at Penn State (55, Q1); 3/9, vs Michigan (58, Q2)
  • Bad Losses: 11/18, vs Temple (127, Q3); 2/14, Nebraska (93, Q3); 3/2, at Minnesota (220, Q3)
  • Interesting Note: Of all the bubble teams, Rutgers has the worst non-conference strength of schedule at 314. Rutgers does own the most true Q1 road wins out of all the teams projected to make the field. Rutgers also owns 7 wins over teams projected to the make the field and two Q1A wins.

BUBBLE TEAMS -

MISSISSIPPI STATE (21-12; 9-11)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 11 (Last Four In)
  • Appearing In Total Brackets: 114 out of 118
  • NET Rankings: 49
  • KenPom Rankings: 49
  • NET SOS: 38
  • NC SOS: 230
  • Home Record: 12-4 
  • Away Record: 4-6 (includes one Q1 win & one Q2 win)
  • Neutral Record: 5-2 (includes one Q1 win & two Q2 wins)
  • SOR: 41
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 4-8
    • Q2: 4-3
    • Q3: 5-1
    • Q4: 8-0
  • Best Wins: 11/21, vs Marquette (12, Q1); 1/28, TCU (29, Q1); 2/4, Missouri (42, Q2); 2/11, at Arkansas (22, Q1); 2/25, Texas A&M (20, Q1); 3/9, vs Florida (60, Q2)
  • Bad Losses: 1/11, at Georgia (152, Q3)
  • Interesting Note: Mississippi State is 5-2 on neutral floors, which is a very solid record. The Bulldogs own one of the best neutral floor victories this year when they defeated Marquette 58-55 back in November. The Bulldogs do have one Q1A win on the season and it came on the road against Arkansas back in mid-February.

PITTSBURGH (22-11; 15-7)

  • Latest Seed Projection: 11 (Last Four In)
  • Appearing In Total Brackets: 80 out of 118
  • NET Rankings: 67
  • KenPom Ranking: 78
  • NET SOS: 89
  • NC SOS: 145
  • Home Record: 14-3 
  • Away Record: 7-5 (includes three Q1 wins)
  • Neutral Record: 1-3
  • SOR: 58
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 4-4
    • Q2: 3-5
    • Q3: 5-1
    • Q4: 10-1
  • Best Wins: 11/28, at Northwestern (41, Q1); 12/2, at NC State (45, Q1); 12/30, North Carolina (46, Q2); 1/3, Virginia (23, Q1); 1/28, Miami (35, Q2); 2/1, at North Carolina (46, Q1)
  • Bad Losses: 1/21, Florida State (221, Q4); 3/1, at Notre Dame (186, Q3)
  • Interesting Note: Pittsburgh has zero Q1A wins and has the worst SOR among the projected teams to make the field. Pittsburgh lost by 31 to Michigan earlier in the season as well as a 25 point loss to West Virginia and 27 point loss to Duke.
ARIZONA STATE (22-12; 13-10)
  • Latest Seed Projection: 11 (Last Four In)
  • Appearing In Total Brackets: 95 out of 118
  • NET Rankings: 66
  • KenPom Rankings: 68
  • NET SOS: 54
  • NC SOS: 188
  • Home Record: 10-5
  • Away Record: 7-6 (includes three Q1 wins)
  • Neutral Record: 5-1 (includes two Q1 wins & two Q2 wins)
  • SOR: 47
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 5-6
    • Q2: 4-5
    • Q3: 5-0
    • Q4: 8-1
  • Best Wins: 11/16, vs VCU (61, Q2); 11/17, vs Michigan (58, Q2); 12/1, at Colorado (70, Q1); 12/12, vs Creighton (16, Q1); 1/12, at Oregon (47, Q1); 2/25, at Arizona (10, Q1); 3/4, vs USC (50, Q1)
  • Bad Losses: 11/13, at Texas Southern (302, Q4)
  • Interesting Note: Arizona State has a very good neutral record but picked up two additional neutral wins in the PAC-12 Tournament. The Sun Devils lost to San Francisco by 37 points in December, their largest margin of defeat for the season. Majority of Arizona State's Q1 wins are low Q1 wins except for their wins over Arizona and Creighton.
NORTH CAROLINA STATE (23-10; 13-9)
  • Latest Seed Projection: 11 (Last Four Byes)
  • Appearing In Total Brackets: 102 out of 118
  • NET Rankings: 45
  • KenPom Rankings: 55
  • NET SOS: 78
  • NC SOS: 244
  • Home Record: 15-2
  • Away Record: 4-6
  • Neutral Record: 4-2
  • SOR: 40
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 1-6
    • Q2: 7-4
    • Q3: 5-0
    • Q4: 10-0
  • Best Wins: 11/24, vs Dayton (76, Q2); 12/17, vs Vanderbilt (79, Q2); 1/4, Duke (17, Q1); 1/7, at Virginia Tech (78, Q2); 1/14, Miami (35, Q2); 2/19, North Carolina (46, Q2); 3/8, vs Virginia Tech (78, Q2)
  • Bad Losses: None
  • Interesting Note: NC State has only one win against Q1 teams but zero Q3/4 losses.
NEVADA WOLF PACK (21-10; 12-7)
  • Latest Seed Projection: OUT (First Four Out)
  • Appearing In Total Brackets: 28 out of 118
  • NET Rankings: 37
  • KenPom Rankings: 41
  • SOS: 70
  • NC SOS: 134
  • Home Record: 13-1
  • Away Record: 6-7 (includes one Q1 win & two Q2 wins)
  • Neutral Record: 2-2
  • SOR: 53
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 4-5
    • Q2: 3-3
    • Q3: 11-2
    • Q4: 3-0
  • Best Wins: 11/28, Sam Houston State (65, Q2); 12/28, Boise State (27, Q1); 1/13, Utah State (19, Q1); 1/23, New Mexico (53, Q2); 1/31, San Diego State (14, Q1); 2/7, at New Mexico (53, Q1)
  • Bad Losses: 2/27, at Wyoming (172, Q3); 3/4, UNLV (91, Q3)
  • Interesting Note: Nevada is lacking in quality road wins. The Wolf Pack only have one Q1 road win on the season but it comes against a lower rated Q1 opponent.
OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (18-15; 9-11)
  • Latest Seed Projection: OUT (First Four Out)
  • Appearing In Total Brackets: 31 out of 118
  • NET Rankings: 45
  • KenPom Rankings: 38
  • NET SOS: 8
  • NC SOS: 192
  • Home Record: 11-5
  • Away Record: 4-7 (includes three Q1 wins)
  • Neutral Record: 3-3 (includes one Q2 win)
  • SOR: 44
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 6-12
    • Q2: 4-2
    • Q3: 3-1
    • Q4: 5-0
  • Best Wins: 12/6, Sam Houston State (65, Q2); 1/2, West Virginia (24, Q1); 1/18, Oklahoma (68, Q2); 1/21, Iowa State (20, Q1); 2/1, at Oklahoma (68, Q1); 2/11, at Iowa State (20, Q1); 2/4, TCU (28, Q1); 2/8, Texas Tech (64, Q2); 3/4, at Texas Tech (64, Q1); 3/8, vs Oklahoma (68, Q2)
  • Bad Losses: 11/10, Southern Illinois (120, Q3)
  • Interesting Note: The Cowboys have played one of the toughest schedules in the country; however, they only have one Q1A win on the season. The Cowboys are 4-10 against high Q1 competition.
CLEMSON TIGERS (23-10; 15-7)
  • Latest Seed Projection: OUT (First Four Out)
  • Appearing In Total Brackets: 3 out of 118
  • NET Rankings: 60
  • KenPom Rankings: 64
  • NET SOS: 102
  • NC SOS: 334
  • Home Record: 15-1
  • Away Record: 5-6 (includes two Q1 wins & one Q2 win) 
  • Neutral Record: 3-3 (includes one Q1 win)
  • SOR: 54
  • Quadrant Record:
    • Q1: 4-4
    • Q2: 3-2
    • Q3: 7-2
    • Q4: 9-2
  • Best Wins: 11/29, Penn State (49, Q2); 12/30, NC State (45, Q2); 1/4, at Virginia Tech (77, Q2); 1/7, at Pittsburgh (67, Q1); 1/14, Duke (16, Q1); 2/25, at NC State (45, Q1); 3/9, vs NC State (45, Q1)
  • Bad Losses: 11/11, at South Carolina (234, Q3); 12/10, vs Loyola-Chicago (267, Q4); 1/31, at Boston College (168, Q3); 2/18, at Louisville (315, Q4)
  • Interesting Note: Clemson has zero high Q1 wins and has a total of four Q3/4 losses with their worst coming towards the end of the season against Louisville.